WHY INVEST IN UK REAL ESTATE IN 2022
MANAGING DIRECTOR TIM BRADFORD BSC (HONS) MRICS EXPLAINS WHY IT IS A SOUND DECISION TO CHOOSE COMMERCIAL REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT IN 2022.
THE GOOD NEWS
- Rebounding UK economy - grew by 7.5% in 2021
- Big consumer cash savings - reduced consumer spending last 2 years
- Higher yields for Real Estate - comparative to other asset classes
- Government capital support for UK businesses and infrastructure (Levelling up Policy) - underpins the needs for bricks and mortar
- Investors' appetite remains strong - "wall of cash" seeking opportunities
THE BAD NEWS
- Supply chain problems - delayed deliveries and backlogs
- Labour force shortage - demand for staff over double of 2015
- Significant rise in construction costs - YOY 70% steel price increase September 2021
- Rising interest rates - many have not experienced significant increase in cost of borrowing
- Major increase in energy costs - impact on consumer spending and real cost to industry
THE RISKS
- Covid-19 variants - not even scientists can predict when or what
- China and Russia geo-political volatility - UK depends on global markets
- Brexit - changes in protocol and process - has Covid-19 delayed the true impact?
- Bond yields are high - and rising further - points to uncertainty in financial markets
- Rising inflation - reduces real value of capital - has negative impact on economy
- Tenant failure - impact of the withdrawal of Covid-19 business support measures
THE OPPORTUNITIES
- Continued growth - in logistics, trade, and industrial sectors
- High Street bounce-back - signals of counter-cycle in retail
- Welcome Environmental, Social, Governance agenda (ESG) with open arms - reap long term benefits
- Re-purposing of real estate assets - push for diversity in major centres
- Identifying undervalued real estate asset classes - shopping centres, for example
- Re-educate investors to consider attractive "recession proof" assets - such as healthcare and education
WHY INVEST IN 2022
- 2021 not that bad! £57bn invested in CRE - 6% above 5 year average
- Hedge against inflation
- Long term security - bricks and mortar stand the test of time
- Commercial property lease terms - provide protection again market volatility
- Higher average yields - real estate provides higher yields compared to other asset classes
- Tenant demand - sustained in logistics and industrial sector, re-emerging in food and beverage and retail
- High construction costs - new development pressure reduces supply, creating opportunities in second hand market
- It is a 'real' asset - brings wider benefit to communities, as well as investor return