WHY INVEST IN UK REAL ESTATE IN 2022

MANAGING DIRECTOR TIM BRADFORD BSC (HONS) MRICS EXPLAINS WHY IT IS A SOUND DECISION TO CHOOSE COMMERCIAL REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT IN 2022.

 

THE GOOD NEWS 

  • Rebounding UK economy - grew by 7.5% in 2021
  • Big consumer cash savings - reduced consumer spending last 2 years
  • Higher yields for Real Estate - comparative to other asset classes
  • Government capital support for UK businesses and infrastructure (Levelling up Policy) - underpins the needs for bricks and mortar
  • Investors' appetite remains strong - "wall of cash" seeking opportunities

THE BAD NEWS

  • Supply chain problems - delayed deliveries and backlogs
  • Labour force shortage - demand for staff over double of 2015
  • Significant rise in construction costs - YOY 70% steel price increase September 2021
  • Rising interest rates - many have not experienced significant increase in cost of borrowing
  • Major increase in energy costs - impact on consumer spending and real cost to industry

THE RISKS

  • Covid-19 variants - not even scientists can predict when or what
  • China and Russia geo-political volatility - UK depends on global markets 
  • Brexit - changes in protocol and process - has Covid-19 delayed the true impact?
  • Bond yields are high - and rising further - points to uncertainty in financial markets 
  • Rising inflation - reduces real value of capital - has negative impact on economy
  • Tenant failure - impact of the withdrawal of Covid-19 business support measures

THE OPPORTUNITIES

  • Continued growth - in logistics, trade, and industrial sectors
  • High Street bounce-back - signals of counter-cycle in retail
  • Welcome Environmental, Social, Governance agenda (ESG) with open arms - reap long term benefits
  • Re-purposing of real estate assets - push for diversity in major centres
  • Identifying undervalued real estate asset classes - shopping centres, for example
  • Re-educate investors to consider attractive "recession proof" assets - such as healthcare and education

WHY INVEST IN 2022

  • 2021 not that bad!  £57bn invested in CRE - 6% above 5 year average
  • Hedge against inflation
  • Long term security - bricks and mortar stand the test of time
  • Commercial property lease terms - provide protection again market volatility
  • Higher average yields - real estate provides higher yields compared to other asset classes
  • Tenant demand - sustained in logistics and industrial sector, re-emerging in food and beverage and retail
  • High construction costs - new development pressure reduces supply, creating opportunities in second hand market
  • It is a 'real' asset - brings wider benefit to communities, as well as investor return